College Football Handicapping
If you have read the NFL handicapping
article you heard us refer to 3 types of methods that most players
use when handicapping football games. We covered the abstract factors
that determine outcomes of games and how you shouldn’t let
those get you down. Now we are going to move onto the subjective
factors concerning a game, particularly in college football handicapping.
To use this information first you must understand it and luckily
you have a few nice guys that are willing to post their thoughts
on college football handicapping for the general public to read.
The subjective factors are aspects which play a motivating part
in the outcome of a football game. These are things that affect
a teams desire or their ability to concentrate, both in a positive
and negative way.
Some examples of this college football handicapping factor would
be home coming, a revenge situation, a coach being let go, and a
fight in practice. You can also throw in all the off the field factors
such as players getting arrested (FSU is notorious for that one),
players being arrested, scandals, and deaths in the family.
For our example we will use the 2004 Florida @ Florida State game
to illustrate the losing a coach angle. In this game the Gators
were installed as 7 point underdogs to the Seminoles. Prior to this
game it had been announced that at the end of the season Coach Zook
would be let go. Although most of the Florida Gator fans and alumni
didn’t particular like Zook and had been lobbing for this
move, the players loved Coach Zook and there was no doubt they were
going to give an inspired effort against a hated rival. Florida
went on to win that game outright and the players showed their appreciation
to their coach by carrying him off the field as if they had just
won the national championship.
If you were handicapping this game and knew the relationship players
had with the coach this was an added incentive to not only cover
the 7 point spread, but win the game outright. The revenge and home
coming angles are for the most part overrated as bookmakers already
factor things like this in, but the departing coach angle we feel
still holds a ton of water in terms of strongest college football
handicapping angles.
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